The Win Meter favors the Kings at home against the Mavericks on Wednesday, December 23, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Mavericks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Kings 58%, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 111, Sacramento Kings 113. The rating gap is 41 points in favor of the Mavericks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Mavericks would win.
Recent form
The Mavericks are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1. The Kings are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 138-109 at home by LAC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Santi Aldama (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026, Dereck Lively II (DAL), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Tarik Biberovic (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026, Caleb Martin (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026, and Jett Howard (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Malik Monk (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Kings lead 5-2, with the Kings outscoring the Mavericks by an average of 4.9 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 130, DAL 121.