Our ratings lean toward the Timberwolves on the road against the Bucks on Wednesday, December 23, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 69%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 114, Milwaukee Bucks 109. The rating gap is 242 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Bucks by an average of 6.7 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 139, MIL 106.