The edge goes to the Raptors on the road against the Grizzlies on Wednesday, December 23, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 66%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 114, Memphis Grizzlies 110. The rating gap is 214 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Grizzlies are 1-0 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Cedric Coward (MEM), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Carson Cooper (MEM), and Javon Small (MEM).
Day to day or questionable: Isaiah Stewart (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Raptors by an average of 3.8 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 128, MEM 96.