Utah Jazz at New York Knicks on Wednesday, December 23 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 94% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 94%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 103, New York Knicks 121. The rating gap is 388 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 17 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.4. The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 146-111 on the road by OKC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Harrison Ingram (UTA).
Day to day or questionable: Tony Bradley (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 3-1, with the Knicks outscoring the Jazz by an average of 13 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 134, UTA 117.