San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday, December 23 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Spurs about a 83% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 83%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 117, Brooklyn Nets 107. The rating gap is 377 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Spurs are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Nets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -16.4.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026, and Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 25, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: De'Aaron Fox (SAS) and Keldon Johnson (SAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 4-0, with the Spurs outscoring the Nets by an average of 12.5 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 126, BKN 110.