Game preview · Wed 5:30 PM MT

Portland Trail Blazers at Boston Celtics: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Boston Celtics →

Our ratings lean toward the Celtics at home against the Trail Blazers on Wednesday, December 23, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Celtics 73%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 109, Boston Celtics 115. The rating gap is 72 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 1-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.6. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Branden Carlson (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 6.3 points per game. The last meeting was POR 94, BOS 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -1.6 avg margin
Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Celtics.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 26: POR 94, BOS 102
  • Dec 28: BOS 108, POR 114
  • Mar 23: BOS 129, POR 116
  • Mar 5: POR 118, BOS 128

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Out · back Oct 27
Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8

Win Meter

27%
73%
Trail BlazersCeltics

Projected score: Trail Blazers 109, Celtics 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
Trail BlazersCeltics

Matchup at a glance

PORBOS
Record1-01-1
Last 5WLLLWLLLLW
Points per game124110
Allowed per game83112
Days of rest––
Rating15371609

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