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Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Atlanta Hawks →

Our ratings lean toward the Hawks at home against the Pistons on Wednesday, December 23, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Pistons are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 60%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 111, Atlanta Hawks 113. The rating gap is 30 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Pistons would win.

Recent form

The Pistons are 1-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3. The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Elijah Harkless (DET), Isaac Jones (DET), Ugonna Onyenso (DET), Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Taurean Prince (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 6-2, with the Pistons outscoring the Hawks by an average of 6.1 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 130, DET 129.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons2-3, -3 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 25: ATL 130, DET 129
  • Dec 12: ATL 115, DET 142
  • Dec 1: ATL 98, DET 99
  • Nov 18: DET 120, ATL 112
  • Feb 23: DET 148, ATL 143

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Taurean Prince Available
  • Elijah Harkless Out
  • Isaac Jones Out
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20

Win Meter

40%
60%
PistonsHawks

Projected score: Pistons 111, Hawks 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

40%
60%
PistonsHawks

Matchup at a glance

DETATL
Record1-02-0
Last 5LLWLWLLLWW
Points per game121130
Allowed per game113103
Days of rest––
Rating16221592

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