Game preview · Tue 6:00 PM MT

Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Oklahoma City Thunder →

The Win Meter favors the Thunder at home against the Pistons on Tuesday, December 22, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Pistons are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Thunder 75%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 111, Oklahoma City Thunder 117. The rating gap is 88 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Thunder on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Pistons are 1-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3. The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Elijah Harkless (DET), Isaac Jones (DET), Ugonna Onyenso (DET), Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Taurean Prince (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 3-1, with the Thunder outscoring the Pistons by an average of 4.5 points per game. The last meeting was DET 110, OKC 114.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons2-3, -3 avg margin
Thunder3-2, +0.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Thunder.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 30: DET 110, OKC 114
  • Feb 25: OKC 116, DET 124
  • Apr 2: DET 103, OKC 119
  • Mar 15: OKC 113, DET 107

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Taurean Prince Available
  • Elijah Harkless Out
  • Isaac Jones Out
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out
Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Thomas Sorber Out · back Oct 26
  • Nikola Topic Out · back Oct 26
  • Otega Oweh Out · back Jul 1

Win Meter

25%
75%
PistonsThunder

Projected score: Pistons 111, Thunder 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

25%
75%
PistonsThunder

Matchup at a glance

DETOKC
Record1-02-0
Last 5LLWLWWLLWW
Points per game121106
Allowed per game11394
Days of rest––
Rating16221710

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