Game preview · Tue 5:00 PM MT

Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards: preview and Win Meter

Toronto Raptors → Washington Wizards →

Our ratings lean toward the Raptors on the road against the Wizards on Tuesday, December 22, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Raptors 72%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 117, Washington Wizards 111. The rating gap is 264 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Raptors are 1-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +6.4. The Wizards are 1-0 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Wizards were beaten 129-98 at home by CHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Malachi Smith (TOR), Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, and AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Felix Okpara (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 5-2, with the Raptors outscoring the Wizards by an average of 9.1 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 134, WAS 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Raptors3-2, +6.4 avg margin
Wizards1-4, -13.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Raptors arrive in better form (W-L-W-L-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Wizards.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 28: TOR 134, WAS 125
  • Dec 26: TOR 117, WAS 138
  • Nov 21: WAS 110, TOR 140
  • Mar 24: TOR 112, WAS 104
  • Mar 10: WAS 104, TOR 119

Injury report

Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Malachi Smith Out
Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Out · back Oct 24
  • Felix Okpara Available

Win Meter

72%
28%
RaptorsWizards

Projected score: Raptors 117, Wizards 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

72%
28%
RaptorsWizards

Matchup at a glance

TORWAS
Record1-01-0
Last 5WLWLWLLLLW
Points per game135128
Allowed per game92116
Days of rest––
Rating15521288

More