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Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers: preview and Win Meter

Denver Nuggets → LA Clippers →

Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers on Monday, December 21 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Clippers at only 55%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Clippers 55%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 113, LA Clippers 115. The rating gap is 62 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 45 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.

Recent form

The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The Clippers are 1-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.4.

The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.

The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.

The Clippers were beaten 116-97 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 8-6, with the Nuggets outscoring the Clippers by an average of 4.1 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 114, LAC 115.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Nuggets1-4, -9 avg margin
Clippers2-3, -2.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 8 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Clippers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 19: DEN 114, LAC 115
  • Jan 30: LAC 109, DEN 122
  • Nov 12: DEN 130, LAC 116
  • May 3: LAC 101, DEN 120 (playoffs)
  • May 1: DEN 105, LAC 111 (playoffs)

Injury report

Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Out · back Oct 26
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29
  • Cameron Johnson Out · back Oct 26
  • Alpha Diallo Questionable · back Oct 24
LA Clippers
  • Bradley Beal Out · back Nov 8
  • Max Strus Out · back Nov 8
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out · back Nov 8
  • Brandon Ingram Out · back Nov 8
  • Jordan Miller Out · back Mar 2

Win Meter

45%
55%
NuggetsClippers

Projected score: Nuggets 113, Clippers 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

45%
55%
NuggetsClippers

Matchup at a glance

DENLAC
Record0-11-0
Last 5LLWLLLLWLW
Points per game84121
Allowed per game9696
Days of rest––
Rating15881526

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