Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Memphis Grizzlies → New Orleans Pelicans →

The edge goes to the Pelicans at home against the Grizzlies on Monday, December 21, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pelicans 73%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 111, New Orleans Pelicans 117. The rating gap is 71 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Grizzlies are 1-0 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Pelicans are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Malik Dia (NOP), Jaron Pierre Jr. (NOP), and Julian Reese (NOP).

Day to day or questionable: Isaiah Stewart (MEM) and Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 6-2, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 106, NOP 114.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Grizzlies1-4, -18 avg margin
Pelicans1-4, -4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 30: MEM 106, NOP 114
  • Jan 23: NOP 133, MEM 127
  • Nov 26: MEM 133, NOP 128
  • Oct 22: NOP 122, MEM 128
  • Mar 9: MEM 107, NOP 104

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Isaiah Stewart Questionable · back Oct 23
  • Cedric Coward Doubtful · back Oct 23
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Malik Dia Out
  • Jaron Pierre Jr. Out
  • Julian Reese Out

Win Meter

27%
73%
GrizzliesPelicans

Projected score: Grizzlies 111, Pelicans 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
GrizzliesPelicans

Matchup at a glance

MEMNOP
Record1-00-1
Last 5LLLLWLWLLL
Points per game123120
Allowed per game103123
Days of rest––
Rating13431414

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