Sacramento Kings at Orlando Magic on Monday, December 21 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Magic about a 83% chance, and the Kings would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Magic 83%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 109, Orlando Magic 119. The rating gap is 177 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Magic are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Kings were beaten 138-109 at home by LAC not long ago.
The Magic were beaten 116-94 on the road by DET not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Anthony Black (ORL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 25, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Malik Monk (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 4-0, with the Magic outscoring the Kings by an average of 22.5 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 117, ORL 121.