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San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

San Antonio Spurs → New Orleans Pelicans →

Our ratings lean toward the Spurs on the road against the Pelicans on Sunday, December 20, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Spurs 73%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 117, New Orleans Pelicans 111. The rating gap is 272 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Spurs are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Pelicans are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.

The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026, Malik Dia (NOP), Jaron Pierre Jr. (NOP), and Julian Reese (NOP).

Day to day or questionable: De'Aaron Fox (SAS) and Keldon Johnson (SAS). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 5-3, with the Pelicans outscoring the Spurs by an average of 1.3 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 104, SAS 95.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Spurs1-4, -2.8 avg margin
Pelicans1-4, -4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 25: NOP 104, SAS 95
  • Dec 8: SAS 135, NOP 132
  • Nov 8: NOP 119, SAS 126
  • Oct 24: SAS 120, NOP 116
  • Mar 15: NOP 115, SAS 119

Injury report

San Antonio Spurs
  • Jayden Quaintance Out · back Dec 3
  • Tobias Harris Out · back Oct 24
  • De'Aaron Fox Questionable · back Oct 23
  • Keldon Johnson Questionable · back Oct 23
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Malik Dia Out
  • Jaron Pierre Jr. Out
  • Julian Reese Out

Win Meter

73%
27%
SpursPelicans

Projected score: Spurs 117, Pelicans 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

73%
27%
SpursPelicans

Matchup at a glance

SASNOP
Record0-10-1
Last 5LWLLLLWLLL
Points per game104120
Allowed per game116123
Days of rest––
Rating16861414

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