The edge goes to the Thunder on the road against the Hawks on Sunday, December 20, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 60%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 115, Atlanta Hawks 113. The rating gap is 169 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Hawks are 1-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.6.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 4-0, with the Thunder outscoring the Hawks by an average of 17 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 129, OKC 140.