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Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Memphis Grizzlies →

The edge goes to the Suns on the road against the Grizzlies on Sunday, December 20, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Suns 59%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 115, Memphis Grizzlies 113. The rating gap is 163 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

Recent form

The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22. The Grizzlies are 1-0 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027 and Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Luke Kennard (PHX), Isaiah Stewart (MEM), and Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 5-2, with the Suns outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 3.9 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 131, MEM 105.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns0-5, -22 avg margin
Grizzlies1-4, -18 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 30: PHX 131, MEM 105
  • Jan 7: PHX 117, MEM 98
  • Oct 29: MEM 114, PHX 113
  • Mar 10: PHX 118, MEM 120
  • Feb 25: PHX 148, MEM 151

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Oso Ighodaro Out · back Oct 26
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Isaiah Stewart Questionable · back Oct 23
  • Cedric Coward Doubtful · back Oct 23

Win Meter

59%
41%
SunsGrizzlies

Projected score: Suns 115, Grizzlies 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

59%
41%
SunsGrizzlies

Matchup at a glance

PHXMEM
Record0-11-0
Last 5LLLLLLLLLW
Points per game83123
Allowed per game124103
Days of rest––
Rating15061343

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