Game preview · Sun 1:30 PM MT

Houston Rockets at Toronto Raptors: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Toronto Raptors →

The Win Meter favors the Raptors at home against the Rockets on Sunday, December 20, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Rockets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Raptors 61%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 113, Toronto Raptors 115. The rating gap is 20 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.

Recent form

The Rockets are 1-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.8. The Raptors are 1-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +6.4.

The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026 and Malachi Smith (TOR).

Day to day or questionable: Steven Adams (HOU) and Reed Sheppard (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 4-0, with the Rockets outscoring the Raptors by an average of 10.7 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 99, HOU 113.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets3-2, +3.8 avg margin
Raptors3-2, +6.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Raptors.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 10: TOR 99, HOU 113
  • Oct 29: HOU 139, TOR 121
  • Feb 9: TOR 87, HOU 94
  • Dec 22: HOU 114, TOR 110

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Steven Adams Questionable · back Oct 23
  • Reed Sheppard Questionable · back Oct 23
Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Malachi Smith Out

Win Meter

39%
61%
RocketsRaptors

Projected score: Rockets 113, Raptors 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

39%
61%
RocketsRaptors

Matchup at a glance

HOUTOR
Record1-01-0
Last 5LWWLWWLWLW
Points per game128135
Allowed per game11092
Days of rest––
Rating15721552

More