The Win Meter favors the Mavericks at home against the Bulls on Saturday, December 19, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Mavericks 66%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 112, Dallas Mavericks 116. The rating gap is 13 points in favor of the Mavericks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Mavericks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.
Recent form
The Bulls are 0-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.2. The Mavericks are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.8.
The Bulls' best recent win was 129-98 on the road against WAS.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Santi Aldama (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026, Dereck Lively II (DAL), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Tarik Biberovic (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026, and Caleb Martin (DAL), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jordan Hawkins (CHI), Dailyn Swain (CHI), Tobe Awaka (CHI), and Zach Collins (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Mavericks lead 3-1, with the Mavericks outscoring the Bulls by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 128, DAL 149.