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Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Atlanta Hawks →

Our ratings lean toward the Hawks at home against the Magic on Saturday, December 19, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Magic are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 64%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 112, Atlanta Hawks 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Magic would win.

Recent form

The Magic are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Hawks are 1-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.6.

The Magic were beaten 116-94 on the road by DET not long ago.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Anthony Black (ORL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 7-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Magic by an average of 4.7 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 132, ORL 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic1-4, -8.8 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -17.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 9 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 21: ATL 132, ORL 125
  • Apr 1: ATL 130, ORL 101
  • Mar 16: ORL 112, ATL 124
  • Nov 4: ORL 112, ATL 127
  • Oct 24: ATL 111, ORL 107

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Out · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 25
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
  • RayJ Dennis Out
  • Keshon Gilbert Out
  • Jalen Wilson Out

Win Meter

36%
64%
MagicHawks

Projected score: Magic 112, Hawks 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
MagicHawks

Matchup at a glance

ORLATL
Record0-11-0
Last 5WLLLLWLLLW
Points per game125132
Allowed per game132125
Days of rest––
Rating15391541

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