Game preview · Wed 6:00 PM MT

Miami Heat at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and win probability

Miami Heat visit Memphis Grizzlies. Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5, while Grizzlies are 1-0 and have gone L-L-L-L-W in their last 5.

The model leans toward Heat: about 58% to win, with a projected score of Miami Heat 115, Memphis Grizzlies 113. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. The series is even, and the average margin has been 3 points in favor of Heat.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 21: MEM 120, MIA 136
  • Oct 24: MIA 146, MEM 114
  • Apr 3: MEM 110, MIA 108
  • Mar 15: MIA 91, MEM 125

Injury report

Miami Heat
  • Vladislav Goldin Available
  • Dru Smith Available
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Isaiah Stewart Questionable · back Oct 23
  • Cedric Coward Doubtful · back Oct 23

Win probability

58%
42%
HeatGrizzlies

Projected score: Heat 115, Grizzlies 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

MIAMEM
Record0-11-0
Last 5LWWLLLLLLW
Points per game106123
Allowed per game131103
Days of rest––
Rating14981343

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