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Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns: preview and win probability

Minnesota Timberwolves visit Phoenix Suns. Timberwolves are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5, while Suns are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-L-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Suns: about 54% to win, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 114, Phoenix Suns 114. That is close to a toss-up. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Timberwolves lead 5-2, and the average margin has been 7.4 points in favor of Timberwolves.

On the injury report, Mark Williams (PHX) and Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Timberwolves come in with the better recent form (2 wins in their last 5).
  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Suns.
  • Watch the rotation: 2 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 17: PHX 104, MIN 116
  • Dec 8: PHX 108, MIN 105
  • Nov 21: MIN 113, PHX 114
  • Mar 28: PHX 109, MIN 124
  • Mar 2: MIN 116, PHX 98

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2
Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 24

Win probability

46%
54%
TimberwolvesSuns

Projected score: Timberwolves 114, Suns 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

MINPHX
Record1-00-1
Last 5LWLLWLLLLL
Points per game13183
Allowed per game106124
Days of rest––
Rating15791506

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