Game preview · Thu 5:30 PM MT

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat: preview and win probability

Washington Wizards visit Miami Heat. Wizards are 1-0 and have gone L-L-L-L-W in their last 5, while Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Heat: about 86% to win, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 108, Miami Heat 120. A win for Wizards would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Heat lead 7-1, and the average margin has been 19 points in favor of Heat.

On the injury report, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), Jamir Watkins (WAS), and AJ Dybantsa (WAS) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Heat.
  • Watch the rotation: 3 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: MIA 140, WAS 117
  • Apr 4: WAS 136, MIA 152
  • Mar 10: WAS 129, MIA 150
  • Feb 8: MIA 132, WAS 101
  • Apr 13: WAS 119, MIA 118

Injury report

Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Out · back Oct 24
  • Felix Okpara Questionable · back Oct 23
Miami Heat
  • Myron Gardner Available
  • Vladislav Goldin Available
  • Dru Smith Available

Win probability

14%
86%
WizardsHeat

Projected score: Wizards 108, Heat 120

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

WASMIA
Record1-00-1
Last 5LLLLWLWWLL
Points per game128106
Allowed per game116131
Days of rest––
Rating12881498

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