Game preview · Wed 6:00 PM MT

Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks: preview and win probability

Orlando Magic visit Dallas Mavericks. Magic are 0-1 and have gone W-L-L-L-L in their last 5, while Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Magic: about 58% to win, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 115, Dallas Mavericks 113. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. The series is even, and the average margin has been 5 points in favor of Mavericks.

On the injury report, Santi Aldama (DAL), Dereck Lively II (DAL), Tarik Biberovic (DAL), and Caleb Martin (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Mavericks.
  • Watch the rotation: 8 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 3: ORL 138, DAL 127
  • Mar 5: DAL 114, ORL 115
  • Mar 27: DAL 101, ORL 92
  • Nov 3: ORL 85, DAL 108

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Out · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 25
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Out · back Oct 24
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 26
  • Tarik Biberovic Out · back Oct 24
  • Caleb Martin Out · back Oct 24
  • Jett Howard Doubtful · back Oct 23

Win probability

58%
42%
MagicMavericks

Projected score: Magic 115, Mavericks 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

ORLDAL
Record0-10-1
Last 5WLLLLLLLWL
Points per game125110
Allowed per game132128
Days of rest––
Rating15391383

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