Game preview · Tue 5:30 PM MT

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat: preview and win probability

Atlanta Hawks visit Miami Heat. Hawks are 1-0 and have gone W-L-L-L-W in their last 5, while Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Heat: about 58% to win, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 113, Miami Heat 115. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 9 times in our recent records. Heat lead 6-3, and the average margin has been 8.8 points in favor of Heat.

On the injury report, Henri Veesaar (ATL) and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Heat.
  • Watch the rotation: 2 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 12: ATL 117, MIA 143
  • Feb 20: MIA 128, ATL 97
  • Feb 3: ATL 127, MIA 115
  • Dec 26: MIA 126, ATL 111
  • Apr 18: MIA 123, ATL 114

Injury report

Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
  • RayJ Dennis Questionable
  • Keshon Gilbert Questionable
  • Jalen Wilson Questionable
Miami Heat
  • Myron Gardner Available
  • Vladislav Goldin Available
  • Dru Smith Available

Win probability

42%
58%
HawksHeat

Projected score: Hawks 113, Heat 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

ATLMIA
Record1-00-1
Last 5WLLLWLWWLL
Points per game132106
Allowed per game125131
Days of rest––
Rating15411498

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