Game preview · Sun 4:00 PM MT

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and win probability

Miami Heat visit Cleveland Cavaliers. Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5, while Cavaliers are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-L-L in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Cavaliers: about 73% to win, with a projected score of Miami Heat 111, Cleveland Cavaliers 117. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 11 times in our recent records. Cavaliers lead 8-3, and the average margin has been 14 points in favor of Cavaliers.

Keys to the game

  • Heat come in with the better recent form (2 wins in their last 5).
  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 27: MIA 128, CLE 149
  • Mar 25: MIA 120, CLE 103
  • Nov 12: CLE 130, MIA 116
  • Nov 10: CLE 138, MIA 140
  • Apr 28: CLE 138, MIA 83 (playoffs)

Injury report

Miami Heat
  • Myron Gardner Available
  • Vladislav Goldin Available
  • Dru Smith Available
Cleveland Cavaliers

No reported injuries.

Win probability

27%
73%
HeatCavaliers

Projected score: Heat 111, Cavaliers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

MIACLE
Record0-10-1
Last 5LWWLLLLLLL
Points per game106106
Allowed per game131114
Days of rest––
Rating14981573

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