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Boston Celtics at San Antonio Spurs: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → San Antonio Spurs →

The Win Meter favors the Spurs at home against the Celtics on Sunday, November 29, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Celtics are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Spurs 72%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 110, San Antonio Spurs 116. The rating gap is 65 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Spurs are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Celtics outscoring the Spurs by an average of 2.2 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 116, SAS 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Spurs1-4, -3.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Spurs.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 10: BOS 116, SAS 125
  • Jan 10: SAS 100, BOS 95
  • Mar 29: BOS 121, SAS 111
  • Feb 12: SAS 103, BOS 116

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
San Antonio Spurs
  • Jayden Quaintance Out · back Dec 3
  • Tobias Harris Out · back Oct 24

Win Meter

28%
72%
CelticsSpurs

Projected score: Celtics 110, Spurs 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

28%
72%
CelticsSpurs

Matchup at a glance

BOSSAS
Record1-10-2
Last 5LLLLWWLLLL
Points per game110107
Allowed per game112115
Days of rest––
Rating16091674

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