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Oklahoma City Thunder at Milwaukee Bucks: preview and win probability

Oklahoma City Thunder visit Milwaukee Bucks. Thunder are 2-0 and have gone W-L-L-W-W in their last 5, while Bucks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-W-L-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Thunder: about 80% to win, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 118, Milwaukee Bucks 110. A win for Bucks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 5 times in our recent records. Thunder lead 3-2, and the average margin has been 6.4 points in favor of Thunder.

On the injury report, Thomas Sorber (OKC), Nikola Topic (OKC), and Otega Oweh (OKC) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Thunder come in with the better recent form (3 wins in their last 5).
  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Bucks.
  • Watch the rotation: 3 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 12: MIL 110, OKC 93
  • Jan 21: OKC 122, MIL 102
  • Mar 16: OKC 121, MIL 105
  • Feb 3: MIL 96, OKC 125
  • Dec 17: MIL 97, OKC 81

Injury report

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Thomas Sorber Out · back Oct 26
  • Nikola Topic Out · back Oct 26
  • Otega Oweh Out · back Jul 1
Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Win probability

80%
20%
ThunderBucks

Projected score: Thunder 118, Bucks 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

OKCMIL
Record2-00-1
Last 5WLLWWLLWLL
Points per game106116
Allowed per game94128
Days of rest––
Rating17101370

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