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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit Phoenix Suns. Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5, while Suns are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-L-L in their last 5.

Tip Off Live ratings give the edge to Suns: about 78% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 110, Phoenix Suns 118. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Suns lead 6-1, and the average margin has been 5.1 points in favor of Suns.

On the injury report, Mark Williams (PHX), Santi Aldama (DAL), Dereck Lively II (DAL), and Tarik Biberovic (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Suns.
  • Watch the rotation: 5 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 8: DAL 107, PHX 112
  • Feb 10: DAL 111, PHX 120
  • Nov 12: PHX 123, DAL 114
  • Mar 9: PHX 125, DAL 116
  • Dec 27: DAL 98, PHX 89

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Out · back Oct 24
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 26
  • Tarik Biberovic Out · back Oct 24
  • Caleb Martin Out · back Oct 24
  • Jett Howard Doubtful · back Oct 23
Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 24

Win probability

22%
78%
MavericksSuns

Projected score: Mavericks 110, Suns 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALPHX
Record0-10-1
Last 5LLLWLLLLLL
Points per game11083
Allowed per game128124
Days of rest––
Rating13831506

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