Game preview · Tue 8:00 PM MT

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit Denver Nuggets. Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5, while Nuggets have not played a regular-season game yet.

The model leans toward Nuggets: about 86% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 108, Denver Nuggets 120. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Nuggets lead 5-3, and the average margin has been 4.3 points in favor of Nuggets.

On the injury report, Spencer Jones (DEN), Julian Strawther (DEN), Santi Aldama (DAL), and Dereck Lively II (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Nuggets.
  • Watch the rotation: 6 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 25: DAL 135, DEN 142
  • Jan 14: DEN 118, DAL 109
  • Dec 23: DEN 130, DAL 131
  • Dec 1: DAL 131, DEN 121
  • Jan 14: DEN 118, DAL 99

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Out · back Oct 24
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 26
  • Tarik Biberovic Out · back Oct 24
  • Caleb Martin Out · back Oct 24
  • Jett Howard Doubtful · back Oct 23
Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Out · back Oct 24
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29

Win probability

14%
86%
MavericksNuggets

Projected score: Mavericks 108, Nuggets 120

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALDEN
Record0-10-0
Last 5LLLWLLLLWL
Points per game110–
Allowed per game128–
Days of rest––
Rating13831593

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