Game preview · Wed 7:30 PM MT

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks: preview and win probability

Golden State Warriors visit Dallas Mavericks. Warriors are 0-1 and have gone L-L-W-L-L in their last 5, while Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Mavericks: about 56% to win, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 113, Dallas Mavericks 115. That is close to a toss-up. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Warriors lead 4-3, and the average margin has been 3 points in favor of Warriors.

On the injury report, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), Jimmy Butler (GSW), and Moses Moody (GSW) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Mavericks.
  • Watch the rotation: 3 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 23: GSW 137, DAL 131
  • Jan 22: GSW 115, DAL 123
  • Dec 25: DAL 116, GSW 126
  • Feb 23: DAL 102, GSW 126
  • Feb 12: GSW 107, DAL 111

Injury report

Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Brandin Podziemski Day to day · back Oct 23
Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

44%
56%
WarriorsMavericks

Projected score: Warriors 113, Mavericks 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

GSWDAL
Record0-10-1
Last 5LLWLLLLLWL
Points per game105110
Allowed per game127128
Days of rest––
Rating14421383

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