Game preview · Wed 6:00 PM MT

Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder: preview and win probability

Atlanta Hawks visit Oklahoma City Thunder. Hawks are 1-0 and have gone W-L-L-L-W in their last 5, while Thunder are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5.

The model leans toward Thunder: about 82% to win, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 109, Oklahoma City Thunder 119. A win for Hawks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. Thunder lead 4-0, and the average margin has been 17 points in favor of Thunder.

On the injury report, Thomas Sorber (OKC), Nikola Topic (OKC), Otega Oweh (OKC), and Henri Veesaar (ATL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Thunder.
  • Watch the rotation: 5 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 29: ATL 129, OKC 140
  • Oct 25: OKC 117, ATL 100
  • Feb 28: OKC 135, ATL 119
  • Oct 27: ATL 104, OKC 128

Injury report

Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Thomas Sorber Out · back Oct 26
  • Nikola Topic Out · back Oct 26
  • Otega Oweh Out · back Jul 1

Win probability

18%
82%
HawksThunder

Projected score: Hawks 109, Thunder 119

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

ATLOKC
Record1-01-0
Last 5WLLLWLWLLW
Points per game132116
Allowed per game125104
Days of rest––
Rating15411705

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