Game preview · Mon 5:30 PM MT

Houston Rockets at Miami Heat: preview and win probability

Houston Rockets visit Miami Heat. Rockets are 1-0 and have gone L-W-W-L-W in their last 5, while Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Heat: about 54% to win, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 114, Miami Heat 114. That is close to a toss-up. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. The series is even, and the average margin has been 2.3 points in favor of Heat.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Heat.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 21: MIA 122, HOU 123
  • Feb 28: HOU 105, MIA 115
  • Mar 21: HOU 102, MIA 98
  • Dec 29: MIA 104, HOU 100

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 23
Miami Heat

No reported injuries.

Win probability

46%
54%
RocketsHeat

Projected score: Rockets 114, Heat 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

HOUMIA
Record1-00-1
Last 5LWWLWLWWLL
Points per game128106
Allowed per game110131
Days of rest––
Rating15721498

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