Game preview · Sat 5:30 PM MT

Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit Cleveland Cavaliers. Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5, while Cavaliers have not played a regular-season game yet.

The model leans toward Cavaliers: about 85% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 109, Cleveland Cavaliers 119. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. Cavaliers lead 3-1, and the average margin has been 19.5 points in favor of Cavaliers.

On the injury report, Khalifa Diop (CLE) and Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Cavaliers.
  • Watch the rotation: 2 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 15: DAL 130, CLE 120
  • Mar 13: CLE 138, DAL 105
  • Feb 2: DAL 101, CLE 144
  • Jan 3: CLE 134, DAL 122

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out · back Oct 24
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out · back Nov 16
  • Jarrett Allen Questionable · back Oct 22

Win probability

15%
85%
MavericksCavaliers

Projected score: Mavericks 109, Cavaliers 119

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALCLE
Record0-10-0
Last 5LLLWLWLLLL
Points per game110–
Allowed per game128–
Days of rest––
Rating13831579

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