Game preview · Thu 6:00 PM MT

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit Minnesota Timberwolves. Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5, while Timberwolves are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5.

The model leans toward Timberwolves: about 85% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 109, Minnesota Timberwolves 119. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Timberwolves lead 6-1, and the average margin has been 11.3 points in favor of Timberwolves.

On the injury report, Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) is listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Timberwolves.
  • Watch the rotation: 1 player is listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 30: MIN 124, DAL 94
  • Feb 20: DAL 111, MIN 122
  • Jan 28: MIN 118, DAL 105
  • Nov 17: DAL 96, MIN 120
  • Jan 22: MIN 115, DAL 114

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2

Win probability

15%
85%
MavericksTimberwolves

Projected score: Mavericks 109, Timberwolves 119

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALMIN
Record0-11-0
Last 5LLLWLLWLLW
Points per game110131
Allowed per game128106
Days of rest––
Rating13831579

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