Game preview · Wed 7:30 PM MT

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets: preview and win probability

Golden State Warriors visit Houston Rockets. Warriors are 0-1 and have gone L-L-W-L-L in their last 5, while Rockets are 1-0 and have gone L-W-W-L-W in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Rockets: about 79% to win, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 110, Houston Rockets 118. A win for Warriors would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 15 times in our recent records. Warriors lead 8-7, and the average margin has been 0.3 points in favor of Warriors.

On the injury report, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), Jimmy Butler (GSW), and Moses Moody (GSW) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Rockets come in with the better recent form (3 wins in their last 5).
  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Rockets.
  • Watch the rotation: 3 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 5: HOU 117, GSW 116
  • Mar 5: GSW 115, HOU 113
  • Nov 26: HOU 104, GSW 100
  • May 4: GSW 103, HOU 89 (playoffs)
  • May 2: HOU 115, GSW 107 (playoffs)

Injury report

Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Brandin Podziemski Day to day · back Oct 23
Houston Rockets
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

21%
79%
WarriorsRockets

Projected score: Warriors 110, Rockets 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

GSWHOU
Record0-11-0
Last 5LLWLLLWWLW
Points per game105128
Allowed per game127110
Days of rest––
Rating14421572

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