Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks: preview and win probability

Indiana Pacers visit Dallas Mavericks. Pacers are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5, while Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5.

Tip Off Live ratings give the edge to Mavericks: about 64% to win, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 112, Dallas Mavericks 116. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. The series is even, and the average margin has been 1.2 points in favor of Pacers.

On the injury report, Dereck Lively II (DAL) and Johnny Furphy (IND) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Mavericks.
  • Watch the rotation: 2 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 22: DAL 134, IND 130
  • Oct 29: IND 105, DAL 107
  • Mar 19: DAL 131, IND 135
  • Nov 4: IND 134, DAL 127

Injury report

Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Aaron Nesmith Day to day · back Oct 23
Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

36%
64%
PacersMavericks

Projected score: Pacers 112, Mavericks 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

INDDAL
Record1-00-1
Last 5LWLLWLLLWL
Points per game123110
Allowed per game120128
Days of rest––
Rating13841383

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