Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM MT

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and win probability

Oklahoma City Thunder visit Memphis Grizzlies. Thunder are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5, while Grizzlies are 1-0 and have gone L-L-L-L-W in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Thunder: about 82% to win, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 119, Memphis Grizzlies 109. A win for Grizzlies would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 11 times in our recent records. Thunder lead 11-0, and the average margin has been 16.7 points in favor of Thunder.

On the injury report, Thomas Sorber (OKC), Nikola Topic (OKC), and Otega Oweh (OKC) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Grizzlies.
  • Watch the rotation: 3 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 9: OKC 117, MEM 116
  • Dec 22: MEM 103, OKC 119
  • Nov 9: OKC 114, MEM 100
  • Apr 26: OKC 117, MEM 115 (playoffs)
  • Apr 24: OKC 114, MEM 108 (playoffs)

Injury report

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Thomas Sorber Out · back Oct 26
  • Nikola Topic Out · back Oct 26
  • Otega Oweh Out · back Jul 1
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Isaiah Stewart Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

82%
18%
ThunderGrizzlies

Projected score: Thunder 119, Grizzlies 109

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

OKCMEM
Record1-01-0
Last 5LWLLWLLLLW
Points per game116123
Allowed per game104103
Days of rest––
Rating17051343

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