Game preview · Wed 7:30 PM MT

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit San Antonio Spurs. Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5, while Spurs are 0-1 and have gone L-W-L-L-L in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Spurs: about 91% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 107, San Antonio Spurs 121. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Spurs lead 5-3, and the average margin has been 6.9 points in favor of Spurs.

On the injury report, Jayden Quaintance (SAS) and Dereck Lively II (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Spurs.
  • Watch the rotation: 2 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: DAL 120, SAS 139
  • Feb 7: DAL 125, SAS 138
  • Feb 5: SAS 135, DAL 123
  • Oct 22: SAS 125, DAL 92
  • Mar 12: DAL 116, SAS 126

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23
San Antonio Spurs
  • Jayden Quaintance Out · back Dec 3
  • Tobias Harris Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

9%
91%
MavericksSpurs

Projected score: Mavericks 107, Spurs 121

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALSAS
Record0-10-1
Last 5LLLWLLWLLL
Points per game110104
Allowed per game128116
Days of rest1314
Rating13831686

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