Game preview · Mon 8:00 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors: preview and win probability

Phoenix Suns visit Golden State Warriors. Suns are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-L-L in their last 5, while Warriors are 0-1 and have gone L-L-W-L-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Warriors: about 55% to win, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 113, Golden State Warriors 115. That is close to a toss-up. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 9 times in our recent records. Warriors lead 5-4, and the average margin has been 1.2 points in favor of Warriors.

On the injury report, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), Jimmy Butler (GSW), Moses Moody (GSW), and Mark Williams (PHX) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Warriors.
  • Watch the rotation: 4 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 17: GSW 96, PHX 111
  • Feb 5: GSW 101, PHX 97
  • Dec 20: PHX 116, GSW 119
  • Dec 18: GSW 98, PHX 99
  • Nov 4: PHX 107, GSW 118

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 24
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Brandin Podziemski Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

45%
55%
SunsWarriors

Projected score: Suns 113, Warriors 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

PHXGSW
Record0-10-1
Last 5LLLLLLLWLL
Points per game83105
Allowed per game124127
Days of rest1111
Rating15061442

More