Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks: preview and win probability

Sacramento Kings visit Dallas Mavericks. Kings are 0-1 and have gone L-L-W-L-L in their last 5, while Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Mavericks: about 67% to win, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 112, Dallas Mavericks 116. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Kings lead 5-2, and the average margin has been 4.9 points in favor of Kings.

On the injury report, Dereck Lively II (DAL), Dylan Cardwell (SAC), Maxime Raynaud (SAC), and Ben Simmons (SAC) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Mavericks.
  • Watch the rotation: 4 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 26: SAC 130, DAL 121
  • Jan 6: DAL 100, SAC 98
  • Dec 27: DAL 107, SAC 113
  • Apr 16: DAL 120, SAC 106
  • Mar 3: SAC 122, DAL 98

Injury report

Sacramento Kings
  • Malik Monk Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

33%
67%
KingsMavericks

Projected score: Kings 112, Mavericks 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

SACDAL
Record0-10-1
Last 5LLWLLLLLWL
Points per game96110
Allowed per game121128
Days of rest1111
Rating13621383

More