Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM MT

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks: preview and win probability

Houston Rockets visit Dallas Mavericks. Rockets are 1-0 and have gone L-W-W-L-W in their last 5, while Mavericks are 0-1 and have gone L-L-L-W-L in their last 5.

The model leans toward Rockets: about 62% to win, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 116, Dallas Mavericks 112. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 9 times in our recent records. Rockets lead 6-3, and the average margin has been 6 points in favor of Rockets.

On the injury report, Dereck Lively II (DAL) is listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Rockets come in with the better recent form (3 wins in their last 5).
  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Mavericks.
  • Watch the rotation: 1 player is listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 21: DAL 110, HOU 128
  • Jan 31: DAL 107, HOU 111
  • Jan 3: HOU 104, DAL 110
  • Dec 6: HOU 109, DAL 122
  • Nov 3: DAL 102, HOU 110

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 23
Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Day to day · back Oct 23

Win probability

62%
38%
RocketsMavericks

Projected score: Rockets 116, Mavericks 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

HOUDAL
Record1-00-1
Last 5LWWLWLLLWL
Points per game128110
Allowed per game110128
Days of rest88
Rating15721383

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