Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM MT

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat: preview and win probability

Indiana Pacers visit Miami Heat. Pacers are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5, while Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Heat: about 77% to win, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 110, Miami Heat 118. A win for Pacers would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Pacers lead 4-3, and the average margin has been 2.7 points in favor of Pacers.

On the injury report, Johnny Furphy (IND) is listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Heat.
  • Watch the rotation: 1 player is listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 29: MIA 118, IND 135
  • Jan 10: MIA 99, IND 123
  • Dec 27: IND 116, MIA 142
  • Feb 28: IND 120, MIA 125
  • Jan 2: IND 128, MIA 115

Injury report

Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Day to day · back Oct 23
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Aaron Nesmith Day to day · back Oct 23
Miami Heat

No reported injuries.

Win probability

23%
77%
PacersHeat

Projected score: Pacers 110, Heat 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

INDMIA
Record1-00-1
Last 5LWLLWLWWLL
Points per game123106
Allowed per game120131
Days of rest88
Rating13841498

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