Game preview · Wed 5:00 PM MT

Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks: preview and win probability

Miami Heat visit Atlanta Hawks. Heat are 0-1 and have gone L-W-W-L-L in their last 5, while Hawks are 1-0 and have gone W-L-L-L-W in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Hawks: about 70% to win, with a projected score of Miami Heat 111, Atlanta Hawks 117. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 9 times in our recent records. Heat lead 6-3, and the average margin has been 8.8 points in favor of Heat.

On the injury report, Henri Veesaar (ATL) and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Hawks.
  • Watch the rotation: 2 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 12: ATL 117, MIA 143
  • Feb 20: MIA 128, ATL 97
  • Feb 3: ATL 127, MIA 115
  • Dec 26: MIA 126, ATL 111
  • Apr 18: MIA 123, ATL 114

Injury report

Miami Heat

No reported injuries.

Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20

Win probability

30%
70%
HeatHawks

Projected score: Heat 111, Hawks 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

MIAATL
Record0-11-0
Last 5LWWLLWLLLW
Points per game106132
Allowed per game131125
Days of rest66
Rating14981541

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