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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets: preview and win probability

Golden State Warriors visit Denver Nuggets early in the season. Neither team has a regular-season result yet, so our read leans on last season's games: Warriors went L-L-L-W-L and Nuggets went L-L-L-W-L over their last five.

The model leans toward Nuggets: about 80% to win, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 110, Denver Nuggets 118. A win for Warriors would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Nuggets lead 4-3, and the average margin has been 4.3 points in favor of Nuggets.

On the injury report, Julian Strawther (DEN), Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), Jimmy Butler (GSW), and Moses Moody (GSW) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Nuggets.
  • Watch the rotation: 5 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 29: GSW 93, DEN 116
  • Feb 22: DEN 117, GSW 128
  • Nov 7: GSW 104, DEN 129
  • Oct 23: DEN 131, GSW 137
  • Apr 4: DEN 104, GSW 118

Injury report

Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Stephen Curry Available
  • Charles Bassey Out · back Oct 23
Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Questionable · back Oct 22
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29

Win probability

20%
80%
WarriorsNuggets

Projected score: Warriors 110, Nuggets 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

GSWDEN
Record0-00-0
Last 5LLLWLLLLWL
Points per game––
Allowed per game––
Days of rest––
Rating14481593

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