Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder: preview and win probability

Phoenix Suns visit Oklahoma City Thunder. Suns have not played a regular-season game yet, while Thunder are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5.

The model leans toward Thunder: about 83% to win, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 109, Oklahoma City Thunder 119. A win for Suns would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 12 times in our recent records. Thunder lead 10-2, and the average margin has been 14.5 points in favor of Thunder.

On the injury report, Thomas Sorber (OKC), Nikola Topic (OKC), Otega Oweh (OKC), and Mark Williams (PHX) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Thunder.
  • Watch the rotation: 6 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 27: OKC 131, PHX 122 (playoffs)
  • Apr 25: OKC 121, PHX 109 (playoffs)
  • Apr 22: PHX 107, OKC 120 (playoffs)
  • Apr 19: PHX 84, OKC 119 (playoffs)
  • Apr 12: PHX 135, OKC 103

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Out · back Oct 24
  • Drew Timme Out
Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Thomas Sorber Out · back Oct 26
  • Nikola Topic Out · back Oct 26
  • Otega Oweh Out · back Jul 1

Win probability

17%
83%
SunsThunder

Projected score: Suns 109, Thunder 119

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

PHXOKC
Record0-01-0
Last 5WLLLLLWLLW
Points per game–116
Allowed per game–104
Days of rest–5
Rating15251705

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