Game preview · Sat 6:00 PM MT

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks: preview and win probability

San Antonio Spurs visit Dallas Mavericks. Spurs are 0-1 and have gone L-W-L-L-L in their last 5, while Mavericks have not played a regular-season game yet.

Our ratings favor Spurs: about 76% to win, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 118, Dallas Mavericks 110. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Spurs lead 5-3, and the average margin has been 6.9 points in favor of Spurs.

On the injury report, Santi Aldama (DAL), Dereck Lively II (DAL), Tarik Biberovic (DAL), and Caleb Martin (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Mavericks.
  • Watch the rotation: 6 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: DAL 120, SAS 139
  • Feb 7: DAL 125, SAS 138
  • Feb 5: SAS 135, DAL 123
  • Oct 22: SAS 125, DAL 92
  • Mar 12: DAL 116, SAS 126

Injury report

San Antonio Spurs
  • Jayden Quaintance Out · back Dec 3
  • Tobias Harris Day to day · back Oct 23
Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Out · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Out · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Out · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Out · back Oct 23

Win probability

76%
24%
SpursMavericks

Projected score: Spurs 118, Mavericks 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

SASDAL
Record0-10-0
Last 5LWLLLWLLLW
Points per game104–
Allowed per game116–
Days of rest3–
Rating16861387

More