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Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors: preview and win probability

Memphis Grizzlies visit Golden State Warriors early in the season. Neither team has a regular-season result yet, so our read leans on last season's games: Grizzlies went L-L-L-L-L and Warriors went L-L-L-W-L over their last five.

The model leans toward Warriors: about 78% to win, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 110, Golden State Warriors 118. A win for Grizzlies would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Warriors lead 7-1, and the average margin has been 1.4 points in favor of Warriors.

On the injury report, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), Jimmy Butler (GSW), Moses Moody (GSW), and Charles Bassey (GSW) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Warriors.
  • Watch the rotation: 7 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 25: GSW 133, MEM 112
  • Feb 9: MEM 113, GSW 114
  • Oct 27: MEM 118, GSW 131
  • Apr 15: MEM 116, GSW 121
  • Apr 1: GSW 134, MEM 125

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Isaiah Stewart Out · back Oct 23
  • Carson Cooper Out
  • Javon Small Out
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Stephen Curry Available
  • Charles Bassey Out · back Oct 23

Win probability

22%
78%
GrizzliesWarriors

Projected score: Grizzlies 110, Warriors 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

MEMGSW
Record0-00-0
Last 5LLLLLLLLWL
Points per game––
Allowed per game––
Days of rest––
Rating13331448

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