Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM MT

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat: preview and win probability

Detroit Pistons visit Miami Heat. Pistons are 1-0 and have gone L-L-W-L-W in their last 5, while Heat have not played a regular-season game yet.

The model leans toward Pistons: about 50% to win, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 114, Miami Heat 114. That is close to a toss-up. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 7 times in our recent records. Pistons lead 4-3, and the average margin has been 2.3 points in favor of Heat.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Heat.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 8: DET 110, MIA 121
  • Jan 1: MIA 118, DET 112
  • Nov 29: DET 138, MIA 135
  • Mar 19: DET 116, MIA 113
  • Dec 16: MIA 124, DET 125

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Taurean Prince Day to day · back Oct 23
Miami Heat
  • Vladislav Goldin Available
  • Myron Gardner Available
  • Dru Smith Available

Win probability

50%
50%
PistonsHeat

Projected score: Pistons 114, Heat 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DETMIA
Record1-00-0
Last 5LLWLWLLWWL
Points per game121–
Allowed per game113–
Days of rest2–
Rating16221522

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