Game preview · Fri 5:00 PM MT

Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit Indiana Pacers early in the season. Neither team has a regular-season result yet, so our read leans on last season's games: Mavericks went W-L-L-L-W and Pacers went L-L-W-L-L over their last five.

The model leans toward Pacers: about 62% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 112, Indiana Pacers 116. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 4 times in our recent records. The series is even, and the average margin has been 1.3 points in favor of Pacers.

On the injury report, T.J. McConnell (IND), Johnny Furphy (IND), Aaron Nesmith (IND), and Santi Aldama (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Pacers.
  • Watch the rotation: 8 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 22: DAL 134, IND 130
  • Oct 29: IND 105, DAL 107
  • Mar 19: DAL 131, IND 135
  • Nov 4: IND 134, DAL 127

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Out · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Out · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Out · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Out · back Oct 23
Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Out · back Oct 23
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Aaron Nesmith Out · back Oct 23
  • Kobe Brown Available
  • Jalen Slawson Available

Win probability

38%
62%
MavericksPacers

Projected score: Mavericks 112, Pacers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALIND
Record0-00-0
Last 5WLLLWLLWLL
Points per game––
Allowed per game––
Days of rest––
Rating13871375

More