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Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets: preview and win probability

Dallas Mavericks visit Houston Rockets early in the season. Neither team has a regular-season result yet, so our read leans on last season's games: Mavericks went W-L-L-L-W and Rockets went L-L-W-W-L over their last five.

Tip Off Live ratings give the edge to Rockets: about 83% to win, with a projected score of Dallas Mavericks 109, Houston Rockets 119. A win for Mavericks would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Rockets lead 5-3, and the average margin has been 4.5 points in favor of Rockets.

On the injury report, Santi Aldama (DAL), Dereck Lively II (DAL), Tarik Biberovic (DAL), and Caleb Martin (DAL) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Rockets.
  • Watch the rotation: 5 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 31: DAL 107, HOU 111
  • Jan 3: HOU 104, DAL 110
  • Dec 6: HOU 109, DAL 122
  • Nov 3: DAL 102, HOU 110
  • Mar 14: DAL 96, HOU 133

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • Santi Aldama Out · back Oct 23
  • Dereck Lively II Out · back Oct 23
  • Tarik Biberovic Out · back Oct 23
  • Caleb Martin Out · back Oct 23
  • Jett Howard Out · back Oct 23
Houston Rockets
  • Julian Phillips Questionable · back Oct 21
  • Steven Adams Questionable · back Oct 21

Win probability

17%
83%
MavericksRockets

Projected score: Mavericks 109, Rockets 119

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DALHOU
Record0-00-0
Last 5WLLLWLLWWL
Points per game––
Allowed per game––
Days of rest––
Rating13871568

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