Our ratings lean toward the Knicks at home against the Spurs on Friday, December 25, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Spurs are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 67%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 110, New York Knicks 114. The rating gap is 23 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Spurs would win.
Recent form
The Spurs are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026 and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: De'Aaron Fox (SAS) and Keldon Johnson (SAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 7-3, with the Knicks outscoring the Spurs by an average of 3.4 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 94, SAS 90.